Model line
Indiana −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Indiana 73%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Indiana home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Indiana a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Indiana defense
| USC O | Stat | Indiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #26266.6 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #6649.0 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #27815.1 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #12429.3 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #23837.0 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2957.4 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #8649.0 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #5348.6 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #12633.1 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #26736.8 |
Indiana offense vs USC defense
| Indiana O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#262 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 56.1#22 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.1#69 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 26.9#302 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 35.0#180 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 10.1#246 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 62.5#13 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 60.3#7 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 34.7#138 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 78.0#18 | FT% | — |
| 50.5#14 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Indiana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Northwestern85 | L 61–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ohio St.26 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Minnesota63 | W 77–47 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Michigan St.9 | L 64–77 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Northwestern85 | L 68–72 |
