Model line
Villanova −36.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Villanova >99%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Villanova home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Villanova a 36.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rider offense vs Villanova defense
| Rider O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Villanova offense vs Rider defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
