Model line
UCF −19.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 98%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
UCF home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes UCF a 19.0-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Towson offense vs UCF defense
| Towson O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#359 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 46.5#345 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.9#134 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 36.0#27 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 30.4#302 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 7.6#36 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 38.9#364 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 47.8#316 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 29.4#349 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 68.9#302 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#277 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Towson defense
| UCF O | Stat | Towson D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #35963.8 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #5048.5 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #28515.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #11629.1 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #4929.3 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #14110.0 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #3346.0 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #10050.0 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #3330.9 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #11541.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Towson
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Hofstra148 | L 65–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Charleston133 | W 81–56 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Hampton221 | W 74–68 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Stony Brook225 | W 69–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Campbell260 | W 71–67 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
