Model line
UCF −20.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 99%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
UCF home
2%Win probability99%
The model makes UCF a 20.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
FIU offense vs UCF defense
| FIU O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#31 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 50.6#205 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.7#250 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 33.9#69 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 38.6#85 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 8.4#91 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 49.9#241 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 49.9#257 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 34.7#136 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 69.4#286 | FT% | — |
| 32.7#321 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs FIU defense
| UCF O | Stat | FIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #3171.5 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #26352.9 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #2120.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #33434.8 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #20835.9 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2113.2 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #35462.2 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #17651.7 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #31236.2 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #3045.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
FIU
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 72–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 92–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Louisiana Tech282 | W 84–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Sam Houston St.171 | L 67–100 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
