Model line
UCF −22.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
UCF home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes UCF a 22.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Alabama offense vs UCF defense
| South Alabama O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#310 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 52.6#121 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 13.0#8 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 25.0#341 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 38.5#90 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 11.3#323 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 45.9#320 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 53.2#123 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 34.5#151 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 65.5#357 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#239 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs South Alabama defense
| UCF O | Stat | South Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #31065.7 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #10650.1 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #9318.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #22131.4 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #925.4 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #12510.3 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #36471.1 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #13250.8 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #12933.1 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #164.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Alabama
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Auburn27 | L 67–78 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 85–94 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Southern Miss236 | L 55–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 89–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Troy152 | W 65–54 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
