Model line
UCF −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 96%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
UCF home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes UCF a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Yale offense vs UCF defense
| Yale O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Yale defense
| UCF O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
