Model line
UCF −26.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF >99%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
UCF home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes UCF a 26.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs UCF defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| UCF O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
