Model line
Cincinnati −33.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati >99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Cincinnati a 33.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marist offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Marist O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Marist defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
