Model line
Cincinnati −27.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Cincinnati a 27.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Monmouth offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Monmouth O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2#234 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 49.6#259 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.6#172 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 31.2#156 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 32.7#247 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 8.7#123 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 53.9#140 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 48.7#292 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 34.2#162 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 75.0#82 | FT% | — |
| 34.4#287 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Monmouth defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Monmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #23467.2 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #10450.1 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #2519.9 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #29032.8 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #11032.2 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #5211.9 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #13750.8 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #8749.6 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #17633.9 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #22238.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Monmouth
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Hofstra148 | L 69–75 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Campbell260 | W 74–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Drexel256 | W 65–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Northeastern252 | W 89–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Elon233 | W 73–57 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
