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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah St. · #56 · P12 · 0–0BYU · #28 · B12 · 0–0Wed, Dec 9 · 10:00 PM ETFS1Marriott Center · Provo, UT
Model line
BYU −10.7
Win probability
BYU 87%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
BYU home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes BYU a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah St. offense vs BYU defense

Utah St. OStatBYU D
68.3#191Tempo#7970.3
56.6#16eFG%#16651.2
15.3#92TOV%#19016.4
33.2#87ORB%#13729.6
39.5#70FT rate#4228.9
9.6#204Block%#5611.8
60.0#32Assist%#22354.0
59.8#92P%#10350.1
34.6#1453P%#26335.3
71.0#240FT%—
40.5#1613PA rate#19539.0

BYU offense vs Utah St. defense

BYU OStatUtah St. D
70.3#79Tempo#19168.3
54.4#55eFG%#9149.8
15.2#75TOV%#1820.4
34.3#61ORB%#26032.0
34.4#198FT rate#27038.3
8.1#62Block%#2338.5
45.0#334Assist%#10849.8
56.2#412P%#5248.5
34.5#1463P%#21534.4
74.7#91FT%—
39.8#1723PA rate#12641.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah St.

Sun, Mar 22NArizona5L 66–78
Fri, Mar 20NVillanova47W 86–76
Sat, Mar 14NSan Diego St.73W 73–62
Fri, Mar 13NNevada77W 79–66
Thu, Mar 12NUNLV89W 80–60

BYU

Thu, Mar 19NTexas10L 71–79
Thu, Mar 12NHouston4L 66–73
Wed, Mar 11NWest Virginia51W 68–48
Tue, Mar 10NKansas St.96W 105–91
Sat, Mar 7HTexas Tech12W 82–76