Model line
BYU −23.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
BYU home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes BYU a 23.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs BYU defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
BYU offense vs Montana St. defense
| BYU O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
