Model line
Arizona St. −20.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 99%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
2%Win probability99%
The model makes Arizona St. a 20.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Idaho O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#142 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 51.4#178 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.0#60 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 28.4#248 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 34.6#194 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 9.0#143 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 44.6#340 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 51.6#188 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.1#169 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 72.6#180 | FT% | — |
| 47.0#33 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Idaho defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Idaho D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #14269.1 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #12650.5 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #27715.1 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #524.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #27338.5 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #3316.4 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #2445.1 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #7149.3 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #25835.2 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #30635.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Houston4 | L 47–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Montana228 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Eastern Washington156 | W 81–68 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Montana St.134 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Sacramento St.174 | W 68–45 |
