Model line
Oregon St. −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon St. 68%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Oregon St. home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Oregon St. a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Oregon St. defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Oregon St. offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
