Model line
Arizona St. −20.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Arizona St. a 20.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Montana O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Montana defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
