Model line
Arizona St. −19.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 98%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Arizona St. a 19.5-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Colorado offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Northern Colorado O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#96 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 55.7#25 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.4#99 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 27.2#289 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 27.5#347 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 7.2#20 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 53.3#158 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 58.1#22 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 35.0#119 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 75.8#58 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#142 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Northern Colorado defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Northern Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #9670.0 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #10550.1 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #36312.4 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #624.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #28138.8 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #3107.0 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #237.9 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #21552.3 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #2830.7 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #31835.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Colorado
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Montana228 | L 89–95 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana228 | W 85–57 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Idaho238 | W 76–67 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 72–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Northern Arizona308 | W 78–77 |
