Model line
Houston −6.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 75%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Houston a 6.3-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LSU offense vs Houston defense
| LSU O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs LSU defense
| Houston O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
