Model line
Gonzaga −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 58%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Gonzaga a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Purdue defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Purdue D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #32365.3 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #23152.3 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #25115.5 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #2226.3 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #825.4 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #1949.1 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #31157.8 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #24853.3 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #18334.0 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #3544.7 |
Purdue offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Purdue O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#323 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 58.1#10 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 13.6#17 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 36.8#19 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 28.3#339 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 6.7#14 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 66.5#4 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 58.4#18 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 38.5#13 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 74.1#128 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#151 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Purdue
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Arizona5 | L 64–79 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Texas10 | W 79–77 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Miami FL13 | W 79–69 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Queens182 | W 104–71 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Michigan24 | W 80–72 |
