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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Georgia St. · #205 · SB · 0–0Florida Gulf Coast · #275 · ASun · 0–0Wed, Nov 25 · 4:00 PM ETSuncoast Credit Union Arena · Fort Myers, FL
Model line
Georgia St. −3.7
Win probability
Georgia St. 65%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
65%Win probability35%

The model makes Georgia St. a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Georgia St. offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense

Georgia St. OStatFlorida Gulf Coast D
68.8#158Tempo#14169.1
44.2#362eFG%#27953.4
15.9#131TOV%#18416.5
27.7#278ORB%#7128.2
37.2#123FT rate#26738.3
8.7#121Block%#8311.1
50.6#228Assist%#20953.3
42.9#3652P%#25853.6
30.6#3313P%#27235.4
78.6#11FT%—
42.4#1293PA rate#2246.2

Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Georgia St. defense

Florida Gulf Coast OStatGeorgia St. D
69.1#141Tempo#15868.8
52.0#145eFG%#13350.6
15.9#130TOV%#19416.4
31.1#162ORB%#30833.6
29.1#331FT rate#17634.9
8.6#109Block%#2438.3
52.0#191Assist%#15551.4
53.3#1162P%#15351.2
33.2#2163P%#12333.1
72.1#202FT%—
38.4#2023PA rate#19939.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Georgia St.

Tue, Mar 3NLouisiana215L 75–84
Fri, Feb 27HOld Dominion218L 73–81
Tue, Feb 24HCoastal Carolina240L 71–76
Sat, Feb 21HJames Madison143L 65–80
Thu, Feb 19HGeorgia Southern307W 66–64

Florida Gulf Coast

Sat, Mar 7NCentral Arkansas177L 63–73
Fri, Mar 6NLipscomb199W 77–53
Wed, Mar 4NNorth Alabama315W 69–58
Sat, Feb 28AStetson267L 63–78
Thu, Feb 26ANorth Florida321L 70–76