Model line
Charlotte −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Charlotte 86%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
86%Win probability14%
The model makes Charlotte a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Charlotte offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Charlotte O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#345 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 53.4#86 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 18.1#275 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 33.9#68 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 36.4#141 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 9.5#182 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 51.8#194 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 53.8#89 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 35.2#104 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 71.6#216 | FT% | — |
| 45.4#58 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Charlotte defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Charlotte D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #34564.4 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #14950.9 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #34413.6 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #28032.5 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #21336.2 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #13410.0 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #14751.1 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #15851.4 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #15333.5 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #13440.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Charlotte
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | South Florida92 | L 64–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UAB124 | W 83–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Tulane153 | W 74–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | South Florida92 | L 60–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | UAB124 | L 74–80 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
