Model line
Davidson −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Davidson 55%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Davidson a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Iowa offense vs Davidson defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Davidson D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #35064.2 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #13150.6 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #12017.5 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #15730.0 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #23937.1 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #4912.0 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #9449.3 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #17351.6 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #9032.6 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #27136.7 |
Davidson offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Davidson O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#350 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 52.6#119 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 15.8#119 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 28.1#261 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 31.0#281 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 9.6#198 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 53.6#147 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 52.2#162 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 35.4#94 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 63.9#365 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#78 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
Davidson
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Oklahoma St.52 | L 80–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | L 58–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | W 64–59 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | St. Bonaventure158 | W 68–63 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 67–70 |
