Model line
Gonzaga −12.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Gonzaga 90%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Gonzaga home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Gonzaga a 12.3-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LSU offense vs Gonzaga defense
| LSU O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Gonzaga offense vs LSU defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
