Model line
Albany −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Albany 51%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Albany home
49%Win probability51%
The model makes Albany a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Merrimack offense vs Albany defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Albany D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #31165.6 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #27353.2 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #22915.8 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #27532.4 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #20235.7 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #5511.8 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #29156.4 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #22452.7 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #29936.0 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #13940.6 |
Albany offense vs Merrimack defense
| Albany O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#311 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 51.3#180 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 18.5#295 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 32.7#97 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 24.9#364 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 9.4#171 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 48.9#266 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 52.8#134 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 32.6#248 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 65.9#354 | FT% | — |
| 37.6#220 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
Albany
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMass Lowell306 | L 76–81 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Vermont189 | L 56–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Maine337 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UMBC285 | L 62–66 |
