Model line
Merrimack −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 86%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Merrimack home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Merrimack a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMass Lowell offense vs Merrimack defense
| UMass Lowell O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#155 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 49.8#248 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 18.0#272 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 32.7#99 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 34.9#186 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 10.4#269 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 45.4#330 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 50.5#241 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 32.2#273 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 65.7#356 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#336 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs UMass Lowell defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | UMass Lowell D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #15568.9 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #28553.5 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #32914.2 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #12929.4 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #3428.3 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #2877.6 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #5747.5 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #29454.4 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #22734.6 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #32035.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMass Lowell
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | UMBC285 | L 69–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Albany330 | W 81–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Maine337 | W 67–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UMBC285 | L 60–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Vermont189 | L 64–66 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
