Model line
BYU −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 72%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
72%Win probability28%
The model makes BYU a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs San Diego St. defense
| BYU O | Stat | San Diego St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #13669.2 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #4248.2 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #1920.3 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #20931.1 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #27438.5 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #815.3 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #32358.2 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #1846.2 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #16233.6 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #1247.3 |
San Diego St. offense vs BYU defense
| San Diego St. O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#136 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 52.7#117 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 17.2#220 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 29.5#220 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 39.0#81 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 6.2#4 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 54.4#130 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 53.2#122 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 34.5#150 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 73.0#171 | FT% | — |
| 33.8#301 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
San Diego St.
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Utah St.56 | L 62–73 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | New Mexico66 | W 64–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Colorado St.83 | W 71–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UNLV89 | W 89–86 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Boise St.71 | L 77–86 |
