Model line
Michigan St. −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan St. 52%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
48%Win probability52%
The model makes Michigan St. a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gonzaga offense vs Michigan St. defense
| Gonzaga O | Stat | Michigan St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#86 | Tempo | #24667.0 |
| 55.6#26 | eFG% | #5548.7 |
| 13.6#16 | TOV% | #29714.9 |
| 34.8#52 | ORB% | #122.5 |
| 31.0#282 | FT rate | #6530.2 |
| 6.0#3 | Block% | #1713.7 |
| 57.5#62 | Assist% | #29656.5 |
| 58.2#19 | 2P% | #4748.4 |
| 33.3#210 | 3P% | #10132.7 |
| 70.7#247 | FT% | — |
| 30.8#342 | 3PA rate | #2146.3 |
Michigan St. offense vs Gonzaga defense
| Michigan St. O | Stat | Gonzaga D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#246 | Tempo | #8670.2 |
| 54.1#67 | eFG% | #1546.3 |
| 17.2#218 | TOV% | #2220.0 |
| 37.9#9 | ORB% | #1625.7 |
| 36.0#151 | FT rate | #8230.9 |
| 8.0#58 | Block% | #8411.1 |
| 67.9#2 | Assist% | #19452.8 |
| 53.7#93 | 2P% | #2146.6 |
| 36.5#39 | 3P% | #2430.6 |
| 76.5#42 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#236 | 3PA rate | #7542.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gonzaga
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas10 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | W 73–64 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 79–68 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Oregon St.93 | W 65–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Saint Mary's74 | L 59–70 |
Michigan St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Connecticut3 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Louisville15 | W 77–69 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Dakota St.170 | W 92–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | UCLA18 | L 84–88 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Michigan24 | L 80–90 |
