Model line
USC −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 58%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
42%Win probability58%
The model makes USC a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs USC defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Utah St. defense
| USC O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
