Model line
USC −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 75%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
25%Win probability75%
The model makes USC a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Carolina offense vs USC defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs South Carolina defense
| USC O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
