Model line
LSU −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 60%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
40%Win probability60%
The model makes LSU a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs LSU defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Arizona St. defense
| LSU O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
