Model line
Tulsa −0.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 52%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
52%Win probability48%
The model makes Tulsa a 0.5-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tulsa offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs Tulsa defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
