Model line
Texas St. −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 54%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Texas St. a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Texas offense vs Texas St. defense
| North Texas O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#297 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 46.0#349 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 16.7#177 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 33.5#79 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 39.6#66 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 11.2#315 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 50.5#232 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 47.4#329 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 28.7#358 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 70.0#275 | FT% | — |
| 32.3#325 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs North Texas defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | North Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #29766.0 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #4748.4 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #821.3 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #27832.4 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #34945.1 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2213.2 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #10149.4 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #9249.8 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #3230.9 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #21438.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Texas
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tulsa104 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Florida Atlantic118 | W 74–70 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Rice235 | W 62–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | UAB124 | W 62–58 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Charlotte112 | L 79–80 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
