Model line
Dayton −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton 58%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Dayton a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dayton offense vs Utah defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #20168.0 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #29853.9 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #34913.3 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #23631.6 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #5729.9 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #2418.4 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #7248.2 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #30254.6 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #25435.1 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #33733.8 |
Utah offense vs Dayton defense
| Utah O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#201 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 52.0#150 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 16.7#181 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 29.3#227 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 31.7#263 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 12.0#343 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 51.7#197 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 51.5#195 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 35.3#102 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 73.8#144 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#222 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
Utah
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Cincinnati30 | L 66–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Baylor32 | L 75–101 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Colorado87 | L 78–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arizona St.68 | L 60–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Iowa St.6 | L 59–75 |
