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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Niagara · #318 · MC · 0–0Iona · #222 · MC · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 1:00 PM ETHynes Athletics Center · New Rochelle, NY
Model line
Iona −10.7
Win probability
Iona 87%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Iona home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Iona a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Niagara offense vs Iona defense

Niagara OStatIona D
63.1#364Tempo#17168.5
50.5#215eFG%#6348.9
18.9#319TOV%#17916.6
24.8#344ORB%#21031.2
26.6#354FT rate#4028.8
9.7#212Block%#2538.1
60.0#30Assist%#29456.5
50.5#2362P%#13651.0
33.7#1873P%#2530.6
72.2#200FT%—
40.5#1583PA rate#13540.7

Iona offense vs Niagara defense

Iona OStatNiagara D
68.5#171Tempo#36463.1
51.9#151eFG%#25952.8
17.2#216TOV%#18116.6
27.8#274ORB%#29532.9
29.3#326FT rate#14533.8
11.1#307Block%#2138.7
53.7#143Assist%#18252.5
51.2#2042P%#22652.7
35.1#1083P%#26535.3
70.7#248FT%—
45.9#483PA rate#14740.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Niagara

Sun, Mar 1HMerrimack211L 66–73
Fri, Feb 27HQuinnipiac249W 78–76
Sun, Feb 22ARider355L 62–67
Fri, Feb 20AMount St. Mary's299L 63–76
Sun, Feb 15HIona222W 70–68

Iona

Thu, Mar 5NSacred Heart310L 80–91
Sun, Mar 1AManhattan331W 69–65
Fri, Feb 27HRider355W 80–58
Sun, Feb 22AMerrimack211L 86–88
Fri, Feb 20HSaint Peter's298W 72–64