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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Iona · #222 · MC · 0–0Niagara · #318 · MC · 0–0Fri, Jan 8 · 6:30 PM ETGallagher Center · Niagara Falls, NY
Model line
Niagara −0.8
Win probability
Niagara 53%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Niagara home
47%Win probability53%

The model makes Niagara a 0.8-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Iona offense vs Niagara defense

Iona OStatNiagara D
68.5#171Tempo#36463.1
51.9#151eFG%#25952.8
17.2#216TOV%#18116.6
27.8#274ORB%#29532.9
29.3#326FT rate#14533.8
11.1#307Block%#2138.7
53.7#143Assist%#18252.5
51.2#2042P%#22652.7
35.1#1083P%#26535.3
70.7#248FT%—
45.9#483PA rate#14740.4

Niagara offense vs Iona defense

Niagara OStatIona D
63.1#364Tempo#17168.5
50.5#215eFG%#6348.9
18.9#319TOV%#17916.6
24.8#344ORB%#21031.2
26.6#354FT rate#4028.8
9.7#212Block%#2538.1
60.0#30Assist%#29456.5
50.5#2362P%#13651.0
33.7#1873P%#2530.6
72.2#200FT%—
40.5#1583PA rate#13540.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Iona

Thu, Mar 5NSacred Heart310L 80–91
Sun, Mar 1AManhattan331W 69–65
Fri, Feb 27HRider355W 80–58
Sun, Feb 22AMerrimack211L 86–88
Fri, Feb 20HSaint Peter's298W 72–64

Niagara

Sun, Mar 1HMerrimack211L 66–73
Fri, Feb 27HQuinnipiac249W 78–76
Sun, Feb 22ARider355L 62–67
Fri, Feb 20AMount St. Mary's299L 63–76
Sun, Feb 15HIona222W 70–68