Model line
Merrimack −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 74%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Merrimack home
27%Win probability74%
The model makes Merrimack a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iona offense vs Merrimack defense
| Iona O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#171 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 51.9#151 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 17.2#216 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 27.8#274 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 29.3#326 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 11.1#307 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 53.7#143 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 51.2#204 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 35.1#108 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 70.7#248 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#48 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs Iona defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Iona D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #17168.5 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #6348.9 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #17916.6 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #21031.2 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #4028.8 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #2538.1 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #29456.5 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #13651.0 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #2530.6 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #13540.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iona
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Sacred Heart310 | L 80–91 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Manhattan331 | W 69–65 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Rider355 | W 80–58 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Merrimack211 | L 86–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Saint Peter's298 | W 72–64 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
