Model line
Penn −7.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 79%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Lafayette home
79%Win probability21%
The model makes Penn a 7.8-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn offense vs Lafayette defense
| Penn O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Lafayette offense vs Penn defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
