Model line
Penn −22.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 99%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Penn home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Penn a 22.5-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bucknell offense vs Penn defense
| Bucknell O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#248 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 48.5#302 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 19.0#320 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 27.0#294 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 29.8#315 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 11.5#326 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 54.0#138 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 50.4#243 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 30.6#329 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 76.8#36 | FT% | — |
| 42.7#122 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Penn offense vs Bucknell defense
| Penn O | Stat | Bucknell D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #24866.9 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #32054.7 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #10217.9 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #21431.3 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #18635.3 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #3455.9 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #35261.8 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #28054.1 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #34437.0 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #2445.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bucknell
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Navy290 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Army346 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Lehigh265 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Army346 | W 75–73 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 63–72 |
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
