Model line
Penn −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 89%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Penn home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Penn a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Howard offense vs Penn defense
| Howard O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#128 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 50.9#198 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 19.3#332 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 35.8#31 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 43.4#17 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 11.2#314 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 60.3#29 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 49.4#273 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 35.8#66 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 74.0#133 | FT% | — |
| 34.7#282 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Penn offense vs Howard defense
| Penn O | Stat | Howard D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #12869.3 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #5148.7 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #1420.7 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #21931.4 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #27138.4 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #13610.0 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #6447.9 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #8649.6 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #4631.4 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #32834.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Howard
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan24 | L 80–101 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | UMBC285 | W 86–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | North Carolina Central357 | W 70–63 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | South Carolina St.356 | W 78–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Norfolk St.297 | W 84–76 |
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
