Model line
Texas Tech −41.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas Tech >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Texas Tech a 41.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi Valley St. offense vs Texas Tech defense
| Mississippi Valley St. O | Stat | Texas Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#103 | Tempo | #20667.9 |
| 45.2#359 | eFG% | #8049.4 |
| 21.9#362 | TOV% | #31014.7 |
| 26.4#313 | ORB% | #16730.1 |
| 33.9#212 | FT rate | #9931.7 |
| 9.0#146 | Block% | #1639.6 |
| 52.9#167 | Assist% | #641.7 |
| 45.6#352 | 2P% | #12550.7 |
| 29.5#346 | 3P% | #4231.3 |
| 71.6#218 | FT% | — |
| 30.2#351 | 3PA rate | #31935.0 |
Texas Tech offense vs Mississippi Valley St. defense
| Texas Tech O | Stat | Mississippi Valley St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#206 | Tempo | #10369.7 |
| 56.7#13 | eFG% | #34155.5 |
| 15.8#126 | TOV% | #14317.1 |
| 33.3#84 | ORB% | #34735.5 |
| 27.3#350 | FT rate | #36250.8 |
| 7.4#26 | Block% | #2637.9 |
| 55.3#107 | Assist% | #33359.5 |
| 54.1#83 | 2P% | #31455.3 |
| 39.7#3 | 3P% | #34637.2 |
| 71.2#232 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#26 | 3PA rate | #8442.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi Valley St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 52–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Jackson St.314 | L 77–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alcorn St.340 | L 64–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 70–69 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Grambling St.326 | L 62–83 |
