Model line
Texas Tech −39.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas Tech >99%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Texas Tech a 39.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Texas Tech defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Texas Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #20667.9 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #8049.4 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #31014.7 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #16730.1 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #9931.7 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #1639.6 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #641.7 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #12550.7 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #4231.3 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #31935.0 |
Texas Tech offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Texas Tech O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#206 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 56.7#13 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 15.8#126 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 33.3#84 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 27.3#350 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 7.4#26 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 55.3#107 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 54.1#83 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 39.7#3 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 71.2#232 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#26 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
