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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

USC · #38 · B10 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Sun, Dec 13 · 2:00 PM ETESPN2Dickies Arena · Fort Worth, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −3.0
Win probability
Texas Tech 62%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
38%Win probability62%

The model makes Texas Tech a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

USC offense vs Texas Tech defense

USC OStatTexas Tech D
71.0#54Tempo#20667.9
50.4#224eFG%#8049.4
17.4#232TOV%#31014.7
32.4#111ORB%#16730.1
44.2#9FT rate#9931.7
8.3#85Block%#1639.6
56.5#81Assist%#641.7
51.8#1792P%#12550.7
31.7#2993P%#4231.3
72.6#183FT%—
34.1#2923PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs USC defense

Texas Tech OStatUSC D
67.9#206Tempo#5471.0
56.7#13eFG%#8849.7
15.8#126TOV%#20316.3
33.3#84ORB%#27032.2
27.3#350FT rate#13833.4
7.4#26Block%#1214.9
55.3#107Assist%#22854.1
54.1#832P%#19852.0
39.7#33P%#3430.9
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#14840.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

USC

Wed, Mar 11NWashington78L 79–83
Sat, Mar 7HUCLA18L 68–89
Wed, Mar 4AWashington78L 72–91
Sat, Feb 28HNebraska19L 67–82
Tue, Feb 24AUCLA18L 62–81

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73