Model line
Northern Kentucky −11.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 90%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Northern Kentucky a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Northern Kentucky offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
