Model line
Illinois St. −18.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 97%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Illinois St. a 18.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
