Model line
Arkansas St. −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas St. 85%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Arkansas St. home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Arkansas St. a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Rice offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Rice O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Arkansas St. offense vs Rice defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
