Model line
Rice −13.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rice 91%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Rice home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Rice a 13.0-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Rice defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Rice D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #25966.7 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #16251.0 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #24115.7 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #32934.6 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #30640.4 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #12410.3 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #5547.4 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #14351.0 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #18434.0 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #30335.5 |
Rice offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Rice O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#259 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 48.5#304 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 17.9#266 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 35.3#43 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 33.9#215 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 10.8#291 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 46.2#315 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 46.2#345 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 34.3#158 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 68.1#324 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#88 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Rice
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | UTSA245 | W 80–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Temple122 | W 80–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | South Florida92 | L 56–75 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulane153 | L 75–81 |
