Model line
UMBC −13.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 92%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
UMBC home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes UMBC a 13.5-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Coppin St. offense vs UMBC defense
| Coppin St. O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#140 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 45.9#350 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 22.3#363 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 30.4#184 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 38.5#89 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 12.0#341 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 51.5#206 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 45.8#348 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 30.7#326 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 67.2#341 | FT% | — |
| 35.2#268 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs Coppin St. defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Coppin St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #14069.1 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #33955.4 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #11917.5 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #33334.8 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #33842.9 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #9310.9 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #35762.5 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #27453.9 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #36038.3 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #6143.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Coppin St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Morgan St.354 | L 66–70 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Howard164 | L 70–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Norfolk St.297 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 71–65 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | South Carolina St.356 | W 59–57 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
