Model line
UMBC −0.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 52%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Delaware St. home
52%Win probability48%
The model makes UMBC a 0.5-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMBC offense vs Delaware St. defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Delaware St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #29566.0 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #26252.9 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #3419.5 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #25432.0 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #30740.5 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #3535.2 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #26755.5 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #30554.8 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #11933.0 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #32434.7 |
Delaware St. offense vs UMBC defense
| Delaware St. O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#295 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 42.9#364 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 19.9#347 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 27.7#277 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 34.1#202 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 11.0#300 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 45.8#322 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 43.1#363 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 28.4#360 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 68.9#299 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#357 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
Delaware St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | North Carolina Central357 | L 53–59 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Morgan St.354 | W 75–70 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Maryland Eastern Shore364 | W 57–56 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | South Carolina St.356 | L 59–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Carolina Central357 | L 60–74 |
