Model line
UMBC −3.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UMBC 65%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UMBC home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes UMBC a 3.6-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iona offense vs UMBC defense
| Iona O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#171 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 51.9#151 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 17.2#216 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 27.8#274 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 29.3#326 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 11.1#307 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 53.7#143 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 51.2#204 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 35.1#108 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 70.7#248 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#48 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
UMBC offense vs Iona defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Iona D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #17168.5 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #6348.9 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #17916.6 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #21031.2 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #4028.8 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #2538.1 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #29456.5 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #13651.0 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #2530.6 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #13540.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iona
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Sacred Heart310 | L 80–91 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Manhattan331 | W 69–65 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Rider355 | W 80–58 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Merrimack211 | L 86–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Saint Peter's298 | W 72–64 |
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
