Model line
San Francisco −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 74%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes San Francisco a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Yale offense vs San Francisco defense
| Yale O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Yale defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
