Model line
Texas St. −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas St. 89%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Texas St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Texas St. a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Texas St. defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Texas St. offense vs San Francisco defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
