Model line
Fresno St. −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fresno St. 78%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Fresno St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Fresno St. a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Francisco offense vs Fresno St. defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Fresno St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #11969.4 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #18551.5 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #8918.2 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #18530.6 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #3728.6 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3236.6 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #15851.5 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #32155.7 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #2730.7 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #4744.0 |
Fresno St. offense vs San Francisco defense
| Fresno St. O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#119 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 50.6#206 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 18.1#277 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 27.9#271 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 33.8#216 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.8#219 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 49.9#242 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 52.3#154 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 32.1#275 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 75.1#76 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#146 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
Fresno St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Colorado St.83 | L 63–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | San Jose St.161 | W 82–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boise St.71 | L 53–69 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Colorado St.83 | L 70–74 |
